Category: Weather

  • Post-Race Analysis:
    A New Look at Racing and Weather Data

    I did not go racing last Sunday, but took a look at the weather data to see what sort of conditions my friends had for racing that day. Surprisingly, since a long distance windward/leeward race was called for, the wind direction was extremely consistent.

    This illustrates the steady wind conditions observed for last Sunday’s race (September 9, 2007). The stable pattern had developed around midnight and persisted throughout much of the day.

    Wind direction graph

    Later on, I learned the race course was set for 5 degrees, not even close to the 333 degrees the steady winds were coming from when I had looked at the weather.

    Wondering if there had been some weather changes to the extremely stable weather pattern, or if the RC had blundered by setting a skewed course when conditions allowed something much more ideal, I took another closer look at the wind data and the racing times of the boats on the course.

    The easy-to-read wind data available online in real-time was now stored in a less friendly archived format. After taking a rough look at some raw data, which reaffirmed the steady wind direction pattern but left some questions about race course conditions, I decided to use the opportunity to dust off some software and start developing some rudimentary data modeling tools for sailboat racing…

    Here is an interesting look at wind conditions for racing on September 9, 2007:

    Fleet distribution and wind direction graph (courtesy of www.sailfastchicago.com)

    Crib data was used as source for wind direction. Most of the boats I race on do not have equipment to record wind data (not to mention I was not racing last Sunday!).

    There may be some discrepancies with regard to using this information for race analysis. Specifically, the geographic location of the wind instruments in a fixed location not on the race course and higher than most masts; and the resolution of the data (each data point represents a 5 minute time interval).

    Given these limitations, however, the information still provides some useful observations that would not otherwise be available.

    Among other things, the graphical view seemed to present some insight into managing fleets in different section breaks to optimize time on the water. In hindsight, the advance decision to hold a single long distance race prevented the opportunity to benefit from the stable wind conditions. Alternatively, an earlier start schedule would have also allowed a long course or multiple races during stable and consistent racing conditions.

    I imagine experienced long-time race committee planners have plenty of knowledge for assigning start times and sequencing races, but the issue seems to generate a lot of discussion and opinions, and graphic analysis such as that shown above might tend to show the pro’s and con’s of various scenarios more clearly to assist in better planning and evaluation.

    Playing with more sailing data and exploring more possibilities for improving race performance and analysis is intriguing…

  • Chicago lived up to its “Windy City” reputation Thursday as dangerous wind gusts blew into town, wreaking havoc

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    NOAA meterological data shows severe winds throughout much of the day Thursday.

    Chicago Sun-Times article:

    45 mph winds blister city, O’Hare

    BLOWN AWAY | Boats overturned, flights canceled, trees and scaffolding rocked as strong gusts whip through area

    Chicago lived up to its “Windy City” reputation Thursday as dangerous wind gusts blew into town, wreaking havoc that even led to two people being pulled from the water near Belmont Harbor after their boat capsized.

    About 7 p.m., a male and a female were pulled to safety by staff members of Chicago Yacht Club after their 15-foot sailboat was tipped over by high winds in Belmont Harbor, police said.

    “This isn’t a time that they should have been sailing,” said Joe Quick, a sailing instructor who helped rescue the pair.

    The Chicago Sun-Times article also describes the tragic drowning of a young man in Waukegan who attempted to rescue another swimmer.

    Reports posted on Sailing Anarchy describe a more troubling marine rescue scenario:

    I saw 4 individuals (who’s names will be withheld from this tid bit) at Belmont last night deciding to go out on Vanguard 15’s. I had just finished up some prep on the Farr40 with the owner and noticed a couple of Vanguards being trotted from the dry dock to the lawn. They were going sailing. I said, ” Don’t do it, you are smarter than that. Don’t do it, something will happen.” I saw one of these individuals up in the club house and told them that racing would definitely be canceled, this person told me that racing was already canceled. They decided to venture out anyway.

    They were doing a nice little planning ballet in the harbor and then they headed out into the lake. One of the crews was drinking beer from a glass bottle, not cool. I left at that point, needing to be home in time for game one tip off. I was in line for cigs when I got the call. “Dude get your ass down here, there are 3 fire trucks two ambulances a police boat and now, oh shit there are more vehicles coming.” “One of them flipped over, turtled and they are having a tough time getting it back up, M-2 blasted out of the harbor with a 7 foot wake and I have pictures.” I said,” Serves them right, it was death on a stick out there and now they are going to get ticketed.” Spectator said,” I know dude two of them came back in and now they are trying to hide-out.”

    In all there we 10 -12 emergency vehicles and divers down there, one cop was quoted as saying, “I can’t believe someone would be so stupid as to take out a 14 foot boat in those kind of winds.”

  • 2007-06-03 LMSRF Area III Long Distance Classic Race

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    Tony Bowker’s Wings returns to Chicago after racing.
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    John Dybas observes mixed cloud formations over Chicago affecting winds over the race course.
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    Bright sunshine behind ominous dark clouds over Chicago generated interesting race conditions throughout the day.
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    A brief, heavy rain after racing gave way to a spectacular rainbow off Chicago’s Navy Pier.
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    A pair of geese has nested at the end of the Columbia Yacht Club pier. One of the geese stands guard (pictured) while the other nests (out of view).